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District Duals 1st round breakdown

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nateheckenberger View Drop Down
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    Posted: Jan 24 2023 at 8:24pm
to pair with the video, taking a look at all 8 first-round matchups:

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote B1Gfan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Jan 24 2023 at 10:57pm
Thanks for doing this and for the video. Good discussion points in both. My 2 comments are about glossing over Pennsbury / QTown and assuming Kakos returning means Kennett loses to PV.

Pennsbury has 4 guys who are all good from 160-189. They have bumped Murray from 189 to 215 before and he held Pardo (more on him in a bit) to a regular decision. If he avoids getting pinned by Lachman at 215, they are strong favorites at 172, 189, and HWT. If Qtown bumps Lachman to HWT, Pennsbury are huge favorites with Murray at 215. Which means Borzio / McGurrin at 160 is a huge match and McGurrin has really good wins on his resume, including going up to 172 and beating Talan Hogan on Friday. I really think that dual is going to be decided at the light weights. Could go either way. My guess is that whoever controls the matchups at 121 and 160 (it is the same team for both weights) has the advantage.

The discussion on Kennett seemed strange because they have returning state qualifiers at 160 (Barlow), 215 (Pardo) and HWT (Shindle) and I would assume they are favored at all those weights. If the HWT Euker is out (which is what it sounded like) that means PV needs to bump and win at both 215 and HWT to have a chance, as well as win at 160 - as long as Kennett has their normal lineup, which includes one forfeit at 172/189. It felt like you guys know that Kennett is definitely going to be missing their 133 and 152 (who is capable of saving points, especially against a less than 100% Kakos) and be forfeiting both 172 and 189. If that is the case, they are in trouble, full points in the Lengel match especially is really important for their chances and could give them a little room for error.

Edited by B1Gfan - Jan 24 2023 at 10:57pm
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